Trends and management - rubric Global economical development trends
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Global economical development trends
Korostelkina I.A., Voronkova N.V. - Real estate market in the time of pandemic: current trends and projections pp. 51-62

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0730.2021.1.33906

Abstract: The object of this research is the real estate market, while the subject of is the socioeconomic relations between all actors of the real estate market established in the context of implementation of restrictive measures due to COVID-19 pandemic. The authors examine the key theoretical aspects of the real estate market, analyze the dynamics in the housing (including premium segment), commercial, office and other property; make projections and align expert opinions on long-term development associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. Emphasis is placed on the impact of changes in mortgage lending with a lower interest rate under the State Support 2020 program development for the development of new-build property market. The following conclusions were made: paradoxicalness of the development of real estate market during the COVID-19 pandemic, in which the obvious negative factors did not lead to a drop in property prices; ambiguity of forecasts for the development of real estate market after the coronavirus pandemic, considering its consequences; situation on the real estate market of China, Hong Kong, and the United States during the coronavirus pandemic indicate similar development scenarios, while the premium segment prices differ significantly. The authors’ special contribution consists in aligning various expert opinions and assessments on the particular elements of real estate market (reinforced by the statistical data of different countries), and formulating a general conclusion on the state of this economic segment under the current conditions of pandemic.
Keywords: infrastructure, economy, crisis, coronavirus, pandemic, estate market, mechanism, price, housing market, forecast
Bogatyrev S., Antonov D.S. - Disturbing trends as precursor of a new crisis pp. 70-80

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0730.2017.4.20103

Abstract: The subject of this research is the current trends in development of the new crisis phenomena in the economy. The object is the indices of corporate finance of international companies; indices that characterize the debt burden; stock market indices and multipliers. Based on the conducted analysis, the authors explore the current prerequisite of a new crisis that according to their estimate will take place in 2016-2017 instigated by the American stock market crash. The main conclusion of the article lies in the assumption that the economy stands on the threshold of a new crisis. The author’s main contribution into the development of the extensively covered question of crisis forecasting consists in the statement that in terms of application of the available economic and financial indices were selected the most efficient for formulating the conclusions. The scientific novelty lies in formation of analytic complex that allows deeper understanding of the examined phenomena, as well as acquire irrefutable factual basis for the conclusions.
Keywords: investments, stock index, stock market, trends, corporate finance, economic coefficients, economic crisis, financial assets, currency issue, economic indicators
Pivanova A.V. -

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0730.2013.3.6244

Abstract:
Khusyainov T.M. - Unemployment problem among the residents of Greenland: statistical analysis pp. 91-97

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0730.2019.2.21623

Abstract: The object of this research is the regional job market of the Island of Greenland. The author analyzes the employment situation of Greenland as of 2010-2014, focusing on the problem of unemployment on the regional job market, its rate, structure and characteristics. Particular attention is given to the occurrence of seasonal unemployment in the job market overall, as well as separate economic sectors. The author also considers the territorial aspect and its impact on the unemployment rate. The main research method is the statistical data analysis of the StatBank Greenland, review of Danish legislation and regional regulatory acts of Greenland. Having analyzes the regional job market of the Island of Greenland alongside the unemployment problem among its residents, the author concludes on the significant dependence of employment rate on the season, including its major economic branch – the fishing industry. Another important feature is the strong differentiation in employment rate between the cities according to their size and location.
Keywords: statistical analysis, unemployment, job market, employment, Greenland, Greenlanders, unemployment rate, social problems, regional job market, workers
Pivanova, A.V. - Comparative characteristics of legal regulation of oil and gas extraction in the continental shelf of the Federal Republic of Brazil and in the Russian Federation. pp. 91-96

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0730.2013.3.63282

Abstract: This article is devoted to the comparative analysis of legal regulation of oil and gas extraction in the continental shelf in the Federal Republic of Brazil and in Russia, as well as to the new legislation of Brazil, strengthening the role of the state in this sphere, and guaranteeing national security and protection of state sovereignty.
Keywords: jurisprudence, continental shelf, Brazil, use of subsurface resources, oil, concession agreement, product sharing agreement, offshore.
Danilenko D.V. - Is the era of public urban transport over? pp. 93-109

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0730.2018.3.27051

Abstract: The article tackles new technologies impact on urban transportation and gives some projections on how the future of urban passenger transit and urban goods transportation would look like. The research is centered mainly on the impact of those technologies on modal choice and explains how the impact of new theologies will contribute to the obsolescence of the public urban transport. Several factors are taken into account to support this idea. Projections on decrease in urban transport are based on major challenges of labor market (automation and teleworking), as well as ecommerce development, which will cut the demand for public transport ridership by half. Those trends will also substantially reduce the car ownership, and thus contribute to traffic decongestion. At the same time, shared-ridership platforms (Uber, etc.) have significantly decreased the cost of transit by private means of transport, equal to some fares of public transport, whereas driverless and electric cars will further decrease the cost of transit by private means of transport up to making public transport unnecessary.
Keywords: cargo transportation, modal choice, new technologies, car, public transport, urban transit, urban transport, urban traffic, individual vehicle, communication technologies
Kalinskaya Y. - Transformation of international credit relations of Russia in the context of global challenges

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0730.2016.2.18840

Abstract: This article reviews the current stand of international credit relations of Russia and makes recommendations for further credit policy development in the context of global challenges. The main problems and prospects of Russia as a lender and a borrower are covered in the article as well as the main points of building the effective international credit policy.
Keywords: international credit relations, international credit policy, global challenges, international lender, systemically important organizations, geopolitical instability, economic sanctions, corporate debt, offshores, liberal policy
Brazhnikov P.P. - The systemic approach to strategic management and consulting; the quantitative model of SWOT analysis pp. 217-221

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0730.2016.3.68111

Abstract:   This article describes an example of a systemic approach towards the analysis of social systems and the organizations or their components. The model of analysis is based on the consideration of system through relative properties of its elements. Since these properties are manifested only in the interaction, the state of the system can be described as a set of resource exchange processes and their parameters. Each component of the system is characterized in terms of its function. All participating members are described as external resources that support processes of an organization. The methods of research of system elements or its processes and resource sources involved are shown based on the SWOT analysis. The author describes the most effective strategies for all four types of processes (strengths, weaknesses, threats, and opportunities). The assignment of processes to a particular type is based on the relative features of interacting entities. It is stated that all subjects, with which a system or an organization interacts, are sources of useful resources. If there is a source of destructive influence on the organization processes, the system searches for external resources, extenuating this influence without connection thereto. It is implied that any exchange of energy takes place on the basis of mutual compensation. It is also shown that for a system any interaction is adaptation to a larger system, or a change of smaller systems for its own benefit. Hence, the result for the system will either be an accumulation of energy or investments. Finally, the author describes the algorithm for evaluation of any sources of resources for their assignment to one of the categories on the SWOT matrix. The rating is based on the relative value of the resource source and the relative probability of its emergence. The main instruments of the different strategies are accumulation, investments and an increase in turnover. Additionally, the possibility of using this instrument for assessment under the model of Porter’s five forces is represented.  
Keywords: social capital, symbolic capital, cenotypes of Ramensky, competition of Yudanov, systemic approach, marketing mix, SWOT analysis, strategic management, systems theory
Shtiblyar F.F. -

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0730.2013.2.9005

Abstract:
Stiblar, F.F. - Balkans – growth, stability, the impact of financial crisis and integration to the world pp. 241-255

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0730.2013.2.63207

Abstract: Balkan peninsula is treated as a special case: as powder keg of Europe and the term “balkanization” has negative connotation. Events of last twenty years did not disappoint such terminology, both within Balkan and outside. There was collapse of socialist economies, disintegration of socialist Yugoslavia with not optimal political solutions. External conditions such as an ailing EU, political turmoil in Near East had negative influences on Balkans. The aim of this article is to investigate what has happened with Balkan economies in the last twenty years. In particular, the author focuses on the consideration of the long term trends in economic growth and its stability (is catching-up to developed Europe taking place?); on the impact of global financial crisis on Balkans (was Balkans with less developed financial structure insulated from negative consequences of global financial crisis?); and on the success in integration of Balkan economies to the globalizing world (is Balkans still “an isolated island” in the world of progress?). Basic criteria for a selection of analyzed countries is geographical position of country in Balkans. Thus, 11 Balkan countries are analyzed (Cyprus is not included). The quality of macroeconomic performance and long term development strategy used is measured by dynamic of GDP growth, the stability of growth in period 1991-2010 and resistance to the effects of global financial crisis. The first part includes two indicators of welfare: growth and stability, the second includes the effects of creation of bubble in period 2005-2008 and its bursting in after that.
Keywords: financial bubble, integration, economy, analysis, macroeconomic, balkanization, Balkan, dynamics, Eurozone, global financial crisis
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