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Publications of Zavyalov Dmitry
Cybernetics and programming, 2016-5
Zavyalov D., Zakharova A.A. - Building an expert system for comprehensive risk assessment in mining of hydrocarbon deposits pp. 1-9

DOI:
10.7256/2306-4196.2016.5.18987

Abstract: The subject of the study is to assess the risks in mining of hydrocarbon deposits. The authors suggests a model of an expert system automated assessment of mining risks. The expert system includes a database containing information on the status of the development of a number of deposits of Tomsk region, detailed classification of risk arising during the mining planning process and exploitation of hydrocarbon fields, and the factors causing the risks. Interconnections of risk factors and patterns of their origin established on the basis of expert estimations. To evaluate the development of the risks proposed to use a comprehensive risk characterization. The rating is based on fuzzy logic. Integrated risk profile allows developing an optimal strategy taking into account the current state of the field mining. Expert system of integrated assessment of mining risks brings together experts from different fields of knowledge and provides a general picture including comprehensive assessment of risks, probabilities and risk profiles helpful to managers and other personnel.
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