Прогнозирование административной деликтности и оценка ее эффективности в деятельности полиции

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Abstract: The article focuses on legal and organizational problems related to forecasting of administrative delinquency and evaluation of its effectiveness in the police activities. The object of the article is the range of social relations associated with the forecasting of administrative delinquency. The authors consider the components of the mechanism of forecasting of administrative delinquency and make the proposals for improvement of its effectiveness in the activities of the police. The main attention is paid to the development of the criteria of administrative delinquency forecasting efficiency. The methodology of the research is based on the modern achievements of epistemology. The authors use the general philosophical and theoretical methods (dialectics, the system method, analysis, synthesis, analogy, deduction, observation, and modeling), the traditional legal methods (formal-logical), and the methods used in special sociological research (the statistical methods, expert evaluations, etc.). In the result of the study of administrative delinquency in the police activities the authors conclude that the abovementioned sphere of internal affairs is not efficient enough. In this regard, at present it is important to develop the legal base for the police activities in the sphere of forecasting of administrative delinquency. The main contribution of the authors is the attention paid to this problem. The novelty of the research lies in the development of the instruments of administrative delinquency forecasting. 

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