Ñòàòüÿ 'Öâåòíûå ðåâîëþöèè â Ñèðèè, Ëèâèè è Èðàêå: ñðàâíèòåëüíûé àíàëèç ñöåíàðèåâ è òåõíîëîãèé äåìîíòàæà ïîëèòè÷åñêèõ ðåæèìîâ' - æóðíàë 'Ïîëèòèêà è Îáùåñòâî' - NotaBene.ru
ïî
Journal Menu
> Issues > Rubrics > About journal > Authors > About the Journal > Requirements for publication > Editorial board > Peer-review process > Policy of publication. Aims & Scope. > Article retraction > Ethics > Online First Pre-Publication > Copyright & Licensing Policy > Digital archiving policy > Open Access Policy > Article Processing Charge > Article Identification Policy > Plagiarism check policy > Editorial collegium
Journals in science databases
About the Journal

MAIN PAGE > Back to contents
Politics and Society
Reference:

Öâåòíûå ðåâîëþöèè â Ñèðèè, Ëèâèè è Èðàêå: ñðàâíèòåëüíûé àíàëèç ñöåíàðèåâ è òåõíîëîãèé äåìîíòàæà ïîëèòè÷åñêèõ ðåæèìîâ

Karpovich Oleg Gennad'evich

Doctor of Politics

Deputy Director of the Insitute, Institue of Stategic Research and Forecasting of the People's Friendship University of Russia

101000, Russia, Moscow, Mikluho-Maklaya Street 6

karpovich40@mail.ru
Other publications by this author
 

 

DOI:

10.7256/2454-0684.2016.1.16110

Received:

12-08-2015


Published:

15-02-2016


Abstract: The object of this study - the nature of pseudo-events that have taken place in the Middle East and North Africa in 2010-13. and collectively referred to the "Arab Spring", which the author refers to the color revolutions - a special technology coup with the resources and tools of "soft power", as well as events in Iraq in 2003 that ended the rule of Saddam Hussein and the all-Arab Baath political party. Subject of investigation - Scenarios and technologies of dismantling the political regimes in Libya, Syria and Iraq. The goal of this study - a comparative analysis of current scenarios and technologies of dismantling the political regimes in the color revolutions in Libya, Syria and in the overthrow of the political regime in Iraq in 2003, reformat the political regimes in the Middle East and North Africa under the Anglo-Saxon "democratic" pattern.The methodological basis of the research is a systemic, structural and functional, comparative political approaches, methods of analysis, synthesis, induction, deduction, observation.The author draws attention to the fact that the technology forced the dismantling of the political regimes have played a key role in the color revolutions of the Arab Spring in the Arab world in 2010-13. At the same time, individual episodes of these technologies can be traced in the second Iraq war in 2003, in which the hard power scenario of dismantling the political regime of Saddam Hussein was complemented by a wide range of "soft" power of influence. The author emphasizes that the so-called Arab Spring revolutions are color revolutions, which contains all the features of this class of technology: Technology is organizing a coup in terms of political instability in which the pressure on the government takes the form of popular uprisings and revolts, only superficially with the elemental form.


Keywords:

politica, society, USA, state, hybrid war, color revolutions, democracy, interests, values, security

References
1. CIA World Factbook https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/
2. Obrashchenie lidera Liviiskoi Dzhamakhirii k natsii 22.02.2011. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TLRE_IbxNXE
3. Bred vopiyushchego v kazarme. http://lenta.ru/articles/2011/02/23/dictat/
4. Interfaks. Kadaffi predstavlyaet ugrozu natsional'noi bezopasnosti SShA – Obama. http://www.interfax.ru/russia/179078
5. Golos Ameriki. Mir i regiony. Sily Kaddafi nachali kontrnastuplenie na vostoke Livii. 02.03.2011. http://m.golos-ameriki.ru/a/lybia-protests-2011-03-02-117243633/216793.html
6. Satanovskii: Kaddafi poluchil polnoe pravo na terakty v Evrope//Daugavpilsskii informatsionno-novostnoi portal GOROD.LV22.03.2011 g.
7. IMF: GDP based on purchasing-power-parity (PPP) per capita GDP MVF: VVP po PPS na dushu naseleniya ot 8 okt. 2014
8. Libya's jobless rate at 20.7 percent: report http://www.reuters.com/article/2009/03/02/ozabs-libya-economy-jobless-idAFJOE52106820090302
9. Vasil'ev A.M., Retsepty arabskoi vesny. – M.:Algoritm, – 2012 http://daccess-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N11/245/60/PDF/N1124560.pdf?OpenElement
10. http://daccess-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N11/268/41/PDF/N1126841.pdf?OpenElement
11. General Hafter announces coup; politicians react with scorn, order his arrest. Libya Herald. 14.02.2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140221182322/http://www.libyaherald.com/2014/02/14/general-hafter-announces-coup-politicians-react-with-scorn-order-his-arrest/#axzz2tIQINLHq
12. Vasil'ev A.M., Retsepty arabskoi vesny. – M.:Algoritm, – 2012 http://top.rbc.ru/politics/31/03/2012/644271.shtml
13. Yakovin I. Urovnem vyshe. – 2012. http://lenta.ru/articles/2012/06/14/newturn/
14. Manoilo A.V. «Siriiskii vopros» Bashara Asada. «NB: Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya». – 2013, – ¹2, – s.48–67.
15. Evseev V. Siriiskaya razvyazka. – «Nezavisimoe voennoe obozrenie» – 2013. – 20 sent.
16. Sidorin, G. Mingatin, V. Prishchepov, V. Akulenko. Vooruzhennye sily zarubezhnykh gosudarstv. – 2009.
17. Siriiskaya svobodnaya armiya zayavlyaet o kontrole nad storonnikami shariata. – 2013. – 1 okt. http://ria.ru/arab_riot/20131001/966948194.html
18. Freedom fighters? Cannibals? The truth about Syria’s rebels. – 2013, 17 iyunya. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/freedom-fighters-cannibals-the-truth-about-syrias-rebels-8662618.html
19. http://newsland.com/news/detail/id/1188769/
20. Infektsiya «made in USA» Svobodnaya pressa, 31.12.2014. http://svpressa.ru/war21/article/81425/
21. http://daccess-dds-ny.un.org/doc/RESOLUTION/GEN/NR0/575/84/IMG/NR057584.pdf?OpenElement
22. http://daccess-dds-ny.un.org/doc/RESOLUTION/GEN/NR0/597/07/IMG/NR059707.pdf?OpenElement
23. SShA ofitsial'no zavershili voinu v Irake. Lenta.Ru (15 dekabrya 2011).
24. The Iraqi Journalists’ Syndicate. 2007.
25. Williams, Lauren Free Iraqi Army inspired by Syria war. The Daliy Star (10 noyabrya 2012)
26. As bombs hit Baghdad, Iraq says about 69, 263 people killed between 2004 and 2011. AL ARABIYA news. 29 February 2012
27. Lenta.ru: Mir: Siriya perepravlyaet v Irak dobrovol'tsev dlya voiny s Amerikoi.
28. Manoilo A.V. Tekhnologii upravleniya mezhdunarodnymi konfliktami na primere revolyutsii na Blizhnem Vostoke i v Severnoi Afrike//Vestnik rossiiskoi natsii. – 2011. – ¹3.
29. http://ria.ru/arab_sy/20111114/488477195.html
30. http://www.interfax.ru/world/331497
31. Russia's Vladimir Putin defends arms sales to Syria. http://www.latimes.com/news/world/worldnow/la-fg-wn-russia-vladimir-putin-syria-arms-sales-20130604,0,4422588.story#axzz2wrq48Fgu
32. Manoilo A.V. Vooruzhennyi myatezh v Ukraine: volna tsvetnykh revolyutsii idet na Rossiyu//NB: Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. — 2014. – ¹ 3. – S.27–35. DOI: 10.7256/2306-4226.2014.3.11498. URL: http://e-notabene.ru/wi/article_11498.html
33. Budaev A.V. Prisutstvie Rossii v Brazilii: «myagkaya sila» v dvustoronnikh otnosheniyakh//Latinskaya Amerika.– 2013. – ¹ 5. – S. 61–65.
34. Manoilo A.V. Psikhologicheskie operatsii SShA v Irake. // Kosmopolis.-2008.-¹1. – S.124-128
35. Rybalova A.V. Revolyutsiya v Sirii kak obnovlennaya skhema realizatsii tsvetnykh revolyutsii // Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. - 2014. - 3. - C. 406 - 414. DOI: 10.7256/2305-560X.2014.3.11785.
36. Fedyakin I.V. Megapolisy kak sub''ekty politiki: istoriya i sovremennoe sostoyanie // Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. - 2014. - 1. - C. 88 - 93. DOI: 10.7256/2305-560X.2014.1.10165.
Link to this article

You can simply select and copy link from below text field.


Other our sites:
Official Website of NOTA BENE / Aurora Group s.r.o.