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The connection between methodology and prognostics
Samburov Eduard Aleksandrovich

Doctor of Philosophy

Professor, the department of Social Philosophy and Sociology, Irkutsk State University

664003, Russia, Irkutsk, Lenina Street 3

samburov1940@gmail.com

Abstract.

 
The subject of this research is the influence of the systemic-dialectical methodology of scientific cognition upon prognostics. The author analyses the correlation between the methodological principles of cognition and main positions of forecasting the events of the future as a specific type of cognition. The possible and the actual are one. Possibility should be viewed as a prerequisite for the new in development of reality, as a tendency of its development. Thus from our point of view, possibility is the future in the present. The principle of unity between possible and actual is considered the initial for the modern prognostics. This work analyses the structure of the present, as well as the ways of detecting the informational component of the future in the present. The author determines the priority points of the scientific forecast today: firstly, an essential need to involve into forecasting a larger circle of researchers and professionals-practitioners; and secondly, strive to increase the efficiency of forecasting.  
 

Keywords: Forecasting, Cognition, Interconnection, Prognostics, Social stability, Future, Prognosis, Prediction, Principle, Methodology

DOI:

10.7256/2409-7144.2016.5.18166

Article was received:

01-03-2016


Review date:

02-03-2016


Publish date:

11-05-2016


This article written in Russian. You can find full text of article in Russian here .

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