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Cybernetics and programming
Reference:

Building an expert system for comprehensive risk assessment in mining of hydrocarbon deposits

Zavyalov Dmitry

graduate student, Department of Engineering Graphics and Industrial Design, National Research Tomsk Polytechnic University

634050, Russia, Tomskaya oblast', g. Tomsk, ul. Sovetskaya, 84/3, of. 216

zda@tpu.ru
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Zakharova Alena Aleksandrovna

Doctor of Technical Science

Head of Department of Engineering Graphics and Industrial Design, National Research Tomsk Polytechnic University

634050, Russia, Tomskaya oblast', g. Tomsk, pr. Lenina, 2, of. 300

zaa@tpu.ru
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DOI:

10.7256/2306-4196.2016.5.18987

Review date:

28-04-2016


Publish date:

29-01-2017


Abstract: The subject of the study is to assess the risks in mining of hydrocarbon deposits. The authors suggests a model of an expert system automated assessment of mining risks. The expert system includes a database containing information on the status of the development of a number of deposits of Tomsk region, detailed classification of risk arising during the mining planning process and exploitation of hydrocarbon fields, and the factors causing the risks. Interconnections of risk factors and patterns of their origin established on the basis of expert estimations. To evaluate the development of the risks proposed to use a comprehensive risk characterization. The rating is based on fuzzy logic. Integrated risk profile allows developing an optimal strategy taking into account the current state of the field mining. Expert system of integrated assessment of mining risks brings together experts from different fields of knowledge and provides a general picture including comprehensive assessment of risks, probabilities and risk profiles helpful to managers and other personnel.


Keywords: comprehensive assessment of risks, fuzzy logic, expert system, mining risk classification, mining risk assessment, mining risks, mining of hydrocarbon deposits, designing field of mining, modeling fields, hydrocarbon deposits
This article written in Russian. You can find full text of article in Russian here .

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