по
Journal Menu
> Issues > Rubrics > About journal > Authors > About the Journal > Requirements for publication > Peer-review process > Article retraction > Ethics > Copyright & Licensing Policy > Digital archiving policy > Open Access Policy > Open access publishing costs > Article Identification Policy > Plagiarism check policy > Editorial Board > Council of Editors
Journals in science databases
About the Journal

Публикация за 72 часа - теперь это реальность!
При необходимости издательство предоставляет авторам услугу сверхсрочной полноценной публикации. Уже через 72 часа статья появляется в числе опубликованных на сайте издательства с DOI и номерами страниц.
По первому требованию предоставляем все подтверждающие публикацию документы!
MAIN PAGE > Back to contents
The Study of Peasant Disturbances Intensity in European Russia in the Second Half of the 19th Century by Means of Self-Organized Criticality Theory
Zhukov Dmitry Sergeevich

PhD in History

Associate professor, Derzhavin Tambov State University

of. 316,  33,  Internatsional'naya ul., Tambov, Tambovskaya oblast', Russia, 392000

ineternatum@mail.ru
Другие публикации этого автора
 

 
Kanishchev Valery Vladimirovich

Doctor of History

Professor, Derzhavin Tambov State University

33, ul. Internatsional'naya, g. Tambov,  Tambovskaya oblast', Russia, 392000

valcan@mail.ru
Lyamin Sergey Konstantinovich

PhD in History

Associate professor, Derzhavin Tambov State University

33  Internatsional'naya ul., Tambov, Tambovskaya oblast', Russia, 392000

laomin@mail.ru
Другие публикации этого автора
 

 

Abstract.

The article presents the results of analysis of long time data series reflecting the intensity of peasant disturbances in various guberniyas of European Russia in the second half of the 19th century by means of self-organized criticality theory . The types of peasant protests are presented that depend on the regularity of protest intensity fluctuations in different guberniyas. It has been found that the population density and the average allotment of land exerted the most powerful influence on the formation of protest potential. A hypothesis has been proposed and substantiated that the presence of pink noise in changes of peasant disturbances intensity means that most of regional communities were in a critical state. This demonstrates serious risks of system stability throughout the period understudy. Inner social environment and structural features existed that led to leaping fluctuations and unexpected increase of peasant disturbances. Regional communities were prone to uprisings under the influence of quite usual factors.

Keywords: Russia , the theory of self-organized criticality, spectral analysis, pink noise, correlation analysis, social processes, history, cluster analysis, interdisciplinary studies, peasant disturbances

DOI:

10.7256/2306-0891.2017.1.22145

Article was received:

29-03-2017


Review date:

07-03-2017


Publish date:

20-05-2017


This article written in Russian. You can find full text of article in Russian here .

References
1.
Bak P., Tang C., Wiesenfeld K. Self-organized Criticality // Physical Review A. 1988. Vol. 38. № 1. Rr. 364-374.
2.
Bak P. How Nature Works: The Science of Self-Organized Criticality. New York: Copernicus, 1996. 212 p.
3.
Bak P. Kak rabotaet priroda: teoriya samoorganizovannoi kritichnosti. M.: URSS, 2013. 276 c.
4.
Sneppen K., Bak P., Flyvbjerg H., Jensen M.H. Evolution as a self-organized critical phenomenon // Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 1995. Vol. 92. № 11. Pr. 5209-5213.
5.
Turcotte D.L. Self-organized criticality // Reports on Progress in Physics. 1999. Vol. 62. № 10. P. 1377.
6.
Turcotte D.L., Rundle J.B. Self-organized complexity in the physical, biological, and social sciences // Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2002. Vol. 99. № 1. Pp. 2463-2465.
7.
Brunk G.G. Self-Organized Criticality: A New Theory of Political Behaviour and Some of Its Implications // British Journal of Political Science. 2001. Vol. 31. № 2. Pr. 427-445.
8.
Brunk G.G. Why Are So Many Important Events Unpredictable? Self-Organized Criticality as the “Engine of History” // Japanese Journal of Political Science. 2002. Vol. 3. № 1. Pr. 25-44.
9.
Brunk G.G. Why Do Societies Collapse? A Theory Based on Self-Organized Criticality // Journal of Theoretical Politics. 2002. Vol. 14. № 2. Pr. 195-230.
10.
Malinetskii G.G. Chudo samoorganizovannoi kritichnosti // Bak P. Kak rabotaet priroda: teoriya samoorganizovannoi kritichnosti. M.: URSS, 2013. C. 13-56.
11.
Kurdyumov S.P., Malinetskii G.G., Podlazov A.V. Istoricheskaya dinamika. Vzglyad s pozitsii sinergetiki // Preprinty IPM im. M.V. Keldysha RAN. 2004. № 85. S. 1-16. URL: http://library.keldysh.ru/preprint.asp?id=2004-85
12.
Borodkin L.I. Metodologiya analiza neustoichivykh sostoyanii v politiko-istoricheskikh protsessakh // Mezhdunarodnye protsessy. 2005. T.3. №7. S. 4-16.
13.
Mathews M.K., White M.C., Long R.G. Why Study the Complexity Sciences in the Social Sciences? // Human Relations. 1999. Vol. 52. № 4. P. 439-462.
14.
Buchanan M. Ubiquity. The Science of History… or Why the World is Simpler Than We Think. London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 2000. 288 p.
15.
Weisbuch G., Solomon S., Stauffer D. Social Percolators and Self Organized Criticality // Economics with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems / Ed. by A. Kirman, J.-B. Zimmermann. Berlin: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2001. P. 43-55.
16.
Kron T., Grund T. Society as a Self-Organized Critical System // Cybernetics & Human Knowing. 2009. Vol. 16. № 1-2. Pr. 65-82.
17.
Pinto C.M.A., Mendes Lopes A., Machado J.A.T. A review of power laws in real life phenomena // Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation. 2012. Vol. 17. № 9. Pp. 3558-3578.
18.
Guastello S.J. Chaos, Catastrophe, and Human Affairs: Applications of Nonlinear Dynamics To Work, Organizations, and Social Evolution. Abingdon: Psychology Press, 2013. 456 p.
19.
Roberts D.C., Turcotte D.L. Fractality and Self-Organized Criticality of Wars // Fractals. 1998. Vol. 6. № 4. Pr. 351-358.
20.
Cederman L.-E. Modeling the Size of Wars: From Billiard Balls to Sandpiles // American Political Science Review. 2003. № 1. Pr. 135-150.
21.
Picoli S., Castillo-Mussot M. del, Ribeiro H. V., Lenzi E. K., Mendes R. S. Universal bursty behaviour in human violent conflicts // Scientific Reports. 2014. Vol. 4. Pr. 1-3.
22.
Shimada I., Koyama T. A theory for complex system’s social change: an application of a general ‘criticality’ model // Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems. 2015. Vol. 13. № 3. Pr. 342–353. doi: 10.7906/indecs.13.3.1
23.
Thietart R.-A. Strategy dynamics: Agency, path dependency, and self-organized emergence // Strategic Management Journal. 2016. Vol. 37. № 4. Pp. 774-792.
24.
Borodkin L.I. "Poryadok iz khaosa": kontseptsii sinergetiki v metodologii istoricheskikh issledovanii // Novaya i noveishaya istoriya. 2003. № 2. S. 98-118.
25.
Borodkin L.I. Kontseptsii sinergetiki v issledovaniyakh neustoichivykh istoricheskikh protsessov: sovremennye diskussii // Informatsionnyi byulleten' assotsiatsii Istoriya i komp'yuter. 2008. № 35. S. 28-29.
26.
Alekseev V.V., Borodkin L.I., Korotaev A.V., Malinetskii G.G., Podlazov A.V., Malkov S.Yu., Turchin P.V. Mezhdunarodnaya konferentsiya «Matematicheskoe modelirovanie istoricheskikh protsessov» // Vestnik Rossiiskogo fonda fundamental'nykh issledovanii. 2007. № 6. S. 37-47.
27.
Garskova I.M. Osnovnye napravleniya razvitiya istoricheskoi informatiki v kontse KhKh – nachale XXI v. // Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 8: Istoriya. 2010. № 6. S. 75-103.
28.
Zudov N.E. Issledovaniya sotsio-politicheskikh fenomenov sredstvami komp'yuternogo modelirovaniya v TsFM: nekotorye rezul'taty i perspektivy // Fractal Simulation. 2012. № 2. S. 6-10.
29.
Zhukov D.S., Lyamin S.K. The Modeling of Institutional Modernization by Means of Fractal Geometry // SAGE Open. 2016. Vol. 6. № 2. Pp. 1-15. DOI: 10.1177/2158244016640858 URL: http://sgo.sagepub.com/content/6/2/2158244016640858
30.
Zhukov D.S., Kanishchev V.V., Lyamin S.K. Vozmozhnosti ispol'zovaniya teorii samoorganizovannoi kritichnosti v izuchenii demograficheskikh protsessov v rossiiskom pozdnem agrarnom obshchestve // Istoricheskaya informatika. Informatsionnye tekhnologii i matematicheskie metody v istoricheskikh issledovaniyakh i obrazovanii 2014. №1. S.70-91.
31.
Zhukov D.S., Kanishchev V.V., Lyamin S.K. Mizis Yu.A. Opyt izucheniya istorii rossiiskogo khlebnogo rynka sredstvami teorii samoorganizovannoi kritichnosti // Istoricheskaya informatika. Informatsionnye tekhnologii i matematicheskie metody v istoricheskikh issledovaniyakh i obrazovanii. 2015. № 1. S. 59-72.
32.
Borodkin L.I. Diskriminantnyi analiz s ispol'zovaniem kontseptsii nechetkikh mnozhestv v zadache otsenki dvukh putei agrarnoi evolyutsii Rossii na rubezhe XIX – XX vv. // Istoricheskaya informatika. 2013. №3. S. 30-38.
33.
Mironov B.N. Blagosostoyanie naseleniya i revolyutsii v imperskoi Rossii: XVIII – nachalo XX veka. M.: Novyi khronograf, 2010. 912 s.
Link to this article

You can simply select and copy link from below text field.


Other our sites:
Official Website of NOTA BENE / Aurora Group s.r.o.
"History Illustrated" Website