Ñòàòüÿ 'Ìîäåëü íàöèîíàëüíîé áåçîïàñíîñòè è åå ïðèëîæåíèÿ' - æóðíàë 'Íàöèîíàëüíàÿ áåçîïàñíîñòü / nota bene' - NotaBene.ru
ïî
Journal Menu
> Issues > Rubrics > About journal > Authors > About the Journal > Requirements for publication > Editorial board > Peer-review process > Policy of publication. Aims & Scope. > Article retraction > Ethics > Online First Pre-Publication > Copyright & Licensing Policy > Digital archiving policy > Open Access Policy > Article Processing Charge > Article Identification Policy > Plagiarism check policy > Editorial collegium
Journals in science databases
About the Journal

MAIN PAGE > Back to contents
National Security
Reference:

Ìîäåëü íàöèîíàëüíîé áåçîïàñíîñòè è åå ïðèëîæåíèÿ

Shumov Vladislav

Doctor of Technical Science

Leading Scientific Associate, International Research Institute For Advanced Systems

117312, Russia, g. Moscow, Prospekt 60-letiya Oktyabrya, 9

vshum59@yandex.ru
Other publications by this author
 

 

DOI:

10.7256/2454-0668.2015.6.12852

Received:

15-08-2014


Published:

17-01-2016


Abstract: The subject of this research is the analysis and determination of the key, maximally aggregated and measurable factors that define the level of security of a state (or a coalition of states). The factors affecting the state of national security (population, territory, technologies, and complementarity of the ethnoses) are being studied for the purpose of building a mathematical model of national security. In the interests of verification of the model, the author uses statistical and analytical data that characterizes the security of the nations of the European and Eurasian unions: size of the population, size of the territories, index of innovations, etc. In order to describe the system of international relations, the work employs the typology og the international systems by Morton Kaplan. In structuring the model, the author utilizes production function, power function, and distribution of Pareto. Using this model, the assessment of the security of the European and Eurasian unions is being carried out. The results of the assessment demonstrate that inclusion of Ukraine into the European Union will lower the EU’s level of security. The technologies are the hampering factor of the expansion of the European Union.


References
1. ABERKROMBI N., KhILL S., TERNER B. Sotsiolo-gicheskii Slovar'. 2-e izd., pererab. i dop. / Per. s angl. I.G. Yasaveeva, pod red. S.A. Erofeeva. – M.: Ekonomika, 2004. – 620 s.
2. ALEKSEEV V. V., NEFEDOV S. A. Tekhnologicheskaya interpretatsiya istorii vtoroi mirovoi voiny // Rossiya v KhKh veke. Voina 1941-1945 godov. Sovremennye podkhody. – M., 2005. – S. 410-422.
3. ASAUL A.N. Etnogeograficheskie faktory globalizatsii i regionalizatsii mira / A. N. Asaul, M. A. Dzhaman, P. V. Shukanov; pod red. A. N. Asaula. – SPb.: ANO «IPEV», 2010. – 296 s.
4. Bol'shaya sovetskaya entsiklopediya: V 30 t. – M.: Sovetskaya entsiklopediya, 1969–1978.
5. GUMILEV L.N. Etnogenez i biosfera Zemli / Pod red. V.S. Zhekulina. – 2-e izd. ispr. i dop. – L.: Izd-vo LGU, 1989. – 496 s.
6. GURIEVA S.D. Ustanovka i formirovanie sistemy mezhetnicheskikh otnoshenii // Sotsiologiya. Psikhologiya. Filosofiya. Vestnik Nizhegorodskogo universiteta im. N.I. Lobachevskogo, 2009. ¹ 6 (1). – S. 282-291.
7. DAL'' V.I. Tolkovyi slovar' zhivogo velikorusskogo yazyka: v 4 t. – Spb., 1863-1866.
8. L''VOV D. S., GLAZ''EV S. E. Teoreticheskie i prikladnye aspekty upravleniya nauchno-tekhnicheskim progressom// Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody,1987. T. 23. Vyp. 5. – S. 793-804.
9. LOPATNIKOV S. Mogushchestvo est' svoboda. [Elektronnaya publikatsiya]. – URL: http://www.contrtv.ru/common/1711/ (data obrashcheniya – 30.07.2014 g.).
10. MAKIAVELLI N. Gosudar'. – M.: Planeta, 1990. – 80 s.
11. MEKhANIK A. Innovatsii pobedili Mal'tusa // «Ekspert», ¹ 43, 31.10.2011 g. [Elektronnaya publikatsiya]. – URL: http://expert.ru/expert/2011/43/nnovatsii-pobedili-maltusa/ (data obrashcheniya – 30.07.2014 g.).
12. NEFEDOV S. A. Kontseptsiya demograficheskikh tsiklov. – Ekaterinburg: Izdatel'stvo UGGU, 2007. – 141 s.
13. NEFEDOV S. A. Faktornyi analiz istoricheskogo protsessa. Istoriya Vostoka. – M.: «Territoriya budushchego», 2008. – 752 s.
14. NIKITIN V.A. Organizatsionnye tipy sovremennoi kul'tury: Avtoreferat diss. d-ra kul'turologii. – Tol'yatti, 1998. – 49 s.
15. NOVIKOV A.M., NOVIKOV D.A. Metodologiya. – M.: SINTEG, 2007. – 668 s.
16. Politologiya. Slovar'. [Elektronnaya publikatsiya]. – URL: http://dic.academic.ru/contents.nsf/politology/ (data obrashcheniya: 06.08.2014).
17. Press-reliz OON. Po poslednim dannym statistiki global'noi migratsii OON v mire naschityvaetsya 232 milliona mezhdunarodnykh migrantov, prozhivayushchikh za predelami svoikh stran. [Elektronnaya publikatsiya]. – URL: http://www.un.org/ru/ga/68/meetings/migration/pdf/internationalmigrantsworldwide_totals2013.pdf (data obrashcheniya: 06.08.2014).
18. Slovar' terminov chrezvychainykh situatsii. 2010. [Elek-tronnaya publikatsiya]. – URL: http://enc-dic.com/mchs (data obrashcheniya: 06.08.2014).
19. Sovremennaya politicheskaya teoriya / Avtor-sostavitel' Kheld D. – M.: Notabene, 2001. – 480s.
20. Sotsiologicheskoe issledovanie: «Religiya na Ukraine: konfessii, otnosheniya, veruyushchie». [Elektron-naya publikatsiya]. – URL: http://www.otechestvo.org.ua/main/20114/2512.htm (data obrashcheniya – 06.08.2014 g.).
21. TOFFLER E. Tret'ya volna. – M.: AST, 2010. – 784 s.
22. TUL''ChINSKAYa Ya.I., KUROChKIN D.S. Metodika otsenki urovnya tekhnologicheskogo uklada strany // Nauka i obrazovanie: khozyaistvo i ekonomika; predprinimatel'stvo; pravo i upravlenie, 2013. [Elektronnaya publikatsiya]. – URL: http://www.journal-nio.com/index.php?option=com_content& view=article&id=1995&Itemid=120 (data obrashcheniya: 06.08.2014).
23. Ustav Organizatsii Ob''edinennykh Natsii. San-Frantsisko, 26 iyunya 1945 g. [Elektronnaya publikatsiya]. – URL: http://www.un.org/ru/documents/charter/index.shtml (data obrashcheniya: 06.08.2014).
24. FEL''DMAN D.M. Zakonomernosti i tendentsii v razvi-tii mezhdunarodnykh otnoshenii // Vvedenie v sotsiologiyu mezhdunarodnykh otnoshenii: Uchebnoe posobie. – M.: MGU, 1992. – S. 67–68.
25. TsYGANKOV P.A. Morton Kaplan i sistemnoe issledovanie mezhdunarodnoi politiki // Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 25. Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya i mirovaya politika. 2012. ¹ 1. – S.23–38.
26. ALESINA A., SPOLAORE E. War, Peace and the Size of Countries // Journal of Public Economics, 2005. ¹ 89 (7). – P. 1333-1354.
27. Global Innovation Index 2014 Edition. [Elektron-naya publikatsiya]. – URL: http://www.globalinnovationindex.org/ (data obrashcheniya: 06.08.2014).
28. GUERRIERO V. Power Law Distribution: Method of Multi-scale Inferential Statistics // Journal of Modern Mathematics Frontier, Vol. 1, ¹ 1, 2012. – P. 21-28.
29. WEBER M. Economy and society: an outline of interpretive sociology. – 4-th edition. – Berkeley: University of California Press, 1978. – 1469 p.
Link to this article

You can simply select and copy link from below text field.


Other our sites:
Official Website of NOTA BENE / Aurora Group s.r.o.