Исследование интенсивности крестьянских волнений в Европейской России во второй половине XIX в. средствами теории самоорганизованной критичности

Жуков Дмитрий Сергеевич; Канищев Валерий Владимирович; Лямин Сергей Константинович

doi:10.7256/2306-0891.2017.1.22145


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Historical informatics

Reference:

Zhukov D.S., Kanishchev V.V., Lyamin S.K. — The Study of Peasant Disturbances Intensity in European Russia in the Second Half of the 19th Century by Means of Self-Organized Criticality Theory // Historical informatics. – 2017. – № 1. – P. 38 - 51. DOI: 10.7256/2306-0891.2017.1.22145 URL: https://en.nbpublish.com/library_read_article.php?id=22145

The Study of Peasant Disturbances Intensity in European Russia in the Second Half of the 19th Century by Means of Self-Organized Criticality Theory

Zhukov Dmitry Sergeevich

PhD in History

Associate professor, Derzhavin Tambov State University

of. 316, 33, Internatsional'naya ul., Tambov, Tambovskaya oblast', Russia, 392000

ineternatum@mail.ru

Другие публикации этого автора

Kanishchev Valery Vladimirovich

Doctor of History

Professor, Derzhavin Tambov State University

33, ul. Internatsional'naya, g. Tambov, Tambovskaya oblast', Russia, 392000

valcan@mail.ru

Другие публикации этого автора

Lyamin Sergey Konstantinovich

PhD in History

Associate professor, Derzhavin Tambov State University

33 Internatsional'naya ul., Tambov, Tambovskaya oblast', Russia, 392000

laomin@mail.ru

Другие публикации этого автора

DOI:

10.7256/2306-0891.2017.1.22145

Review date:

28-02-2017

Publish date:

20-05-2017

Abstract: The article presents the results of analysis of long time data series reflecting the intensity of peasant disturbances in various guberniyas of European Russia in the second half of the 19th century by means of self-organized criticality theory . The types of peasant protests are presented that depend on the regularity of protest intensity fluctuations in different guberniyas. It has been found that the population density and the average allotment of land exerted the most powerful influence on the formation of protest potential. A hypothesis has been proposed and substantiated that the presence of pink noise in changes of peasant disturbances intensity means that most of regional communities were in a critical state. This demonstrates serious risks of system stability throughout the period understudy. Inner social environment and structural features existed that led to leaping fluctuations and unexpected increase of peasant disturbances. Regional communities were prone to uprisings under the influence of quite usual factors.

Keywords: Russia , the theory of self-organized criticality, spectral analysis, pink noise, correlation analysis, social processes, history, cluster analysis, interdisciplinary studies, peasant disturbances
This article written in Russian. You can find full text of article in Russian here .

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