Abstract: The system of secondary vocational education is of strategic importance for the economy, since the quality of training determines the potential of its development. The speed of the emergence of new technologies requires flexibility and structural complexity of educational mechanisms, which is reflected in the decisions of the federal project "Professionalism". The new reality dictates the need for a conceptual understanding of the logic of the development of PDF, the potential and risk-taking of the steps taken and the viability of initiatives. The authors' contribution to the solution of this problem consists in identifying possible scenarios for the development of STR based on the expectations and readiness of stakeholders. The purpose of this article is to analyze possible scenarios for the development of SPE and their assessment from the perspective of key stakeholders – teachers and administrators of training institutions for SPE. Methodology, methods and techniques. The work consists of three main blocks: a theoretical analysis of research on the functioning of the SPO; an empirical part, presented by a description of the author's methodology and data from an expert survey; resulting conclusions containing formulations of basic scenarios for the development of the SPO. The scientific novelty of the research lies in the development of a methodology for analyzing the state and prospects of the development of SPO by a key stakeholder – training institutions for SPO. Practical significance. Conceptual constructions and the obtained practical data can be taken into account when developing educational strategies, individual results are useful for optimizing the educational process in universities that train personnel for vocational education. Conclusions. Changes in the value basis of vocational education, as well as an increase in the motivation of teachers and masters (not only material, but also at the level of understanding and acceptance of ideas) determine the effectiveness of decisions and initiatives.