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Publications of Kokunova Svetlana Dmitrievna
Law and Politics, 2018-9
Kokunova S.D., Andreev A.P. - The pre-crisis state of the law is a global problem of humanity and a threat factor to Russia’s national security pp. 8-16

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0706.2018.9.43105

Abstract: The subject of this article is the state of the system of the Russian law and Russian legislation, negative impact of the erratic changes in legislation, their use and the state of security of the population. The authors studied the process of change of the legal system during the 90’s reform, identified the negative aspects in the formation of legislation: unsystematic changes in legislation, the use of "legal fiction", the examples of new legal norms resulting in a conflict of their application in practice. The assumption is made about the further expansion of the pathology of the consciousness of modern society and legal nihilism. The authors applied the methods of system-structural analysis, as well as comparison of dynamic and statistical approach for the study of legal documents. The relevance of this research lies in the fact that special attention is paid to the changing perceptions of law in the modernization of communications and Informatization of society and blurring of the lines between the mechanism of perception of humanitarian and non-humanitarian Sciences, which leads to the devaluation of the modern system of law and the growing threats to national security. The authors conclude that there is a necessity of developing a new concept of law with research studies in Humanities and technical sciences, and bringing to this issue the best specialists in the field of law, computer science and high technology.
National Security, 2018-5
Kokunova S.D., Kokunov A.I. - Criminological forecasting of corruption: problems and prospects pp. 17-26

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0668.2018.5.27708

Abstract: This article examines the question on possibilities of application of the methods of criminological forecasting with regards to organization of anti-corruption measures and ensuring national security. The author describes the existing methods of criminological forecasting – extrapolation, modelling, and expert evaluation; determines their flaws consisting in the impossibility of calculating the factor of latency in criminal statistics, low level of validity of the initial statistical data, low degree of certainty of the results, as well as subjectivity of forecasting. The conclusion is made on the need for implementing the data of monitoring corruption in criminological forecasting and comprehensive application of the indicated methods. The scientific novelty lies in identification of the merits and demerits of the various methods of criminological forecasting; assessment of potential implementation in the Russian criminology of the neural network for modelling and forecasting corruption, based on the economic and political factors; proposal of the data monitoring system for development of the most accurate forecasting of corruption crime.  
National Security, 2017-5
Kokunova S.D., Andreev A.P. - The impact of illegal migration upon drug situation in the Russian Federation pp. 1-13

DOI:
10.7256/2454-0668.2017.5.24189

Abstract: The subject of this research is the question of negative impact of the illegal migration upon the expansion of illicit trafficking and non-medical consume of narcotic drugs and psychotropic substances. The authors examine the influence of illegal migration on the criminal and drug situation in Russia. The article provides evidence of the UN and law enforcement agencies about the coincidence of transportation threads of "heavy" drug trafficking with routs of illegal migration, displacement of the supply of opiates and cocaine to the East, which increases the severity of the criminogenic environment in the Russian Federation. The authors examine the efficiency of previously adopted measures on improving the drug situation in the country, and make a conclusion on their insufficiency. The study applies the methods of system-structural analysis, comparison of dynamic and statistical approaches for exploration of legal documents. Relevance of the work lies in the fact that special attention is given to the lack of effective methods for determining the actual level of illegal migration alongside the level of narcotization of population; the influence of these factors on the state of national security is being considered. The article analyzes the question of attributing the illegal migration, trafficking of narcotic drugs and psychotropic substances to the list of unmanageable risks. The conclusion is made about the possibility of reducing the risk to partially manageable through implementing the proposed by the authors measures of legal and organizational nature.
Security Issues, 2016-4
Kubrin A.A., Kokunova S.D. - Business security as an element of security of the state economic system pp. 1-14

DOI:
10.7256/2409-7543.2016.4.19703

Abstract: The article studies the problem of influence of criminal legislation on one of the fundamental factors of Russia’s economy – private sector. The authors consider the economic system as a matrix of the state and the society. Its safety is the basic premise of national and social security, regardless of its traditional form. The authors study the impact of criminal law enforcement practice on the economic system and reveal its destabilizing aspects. The article contains the results of the study of the Business Ombudsman Office and analyzes the topical issues of criminal legislation humanization in relation to economic agents. The authors apply the method of jurisprudence, statistical, sociological, historical, system and comparative methods to study the influence of criminal legislation and law enforcement practice on the economic system of the Russian Federation. The authors conclude about the overabundance of state interference in market relations, about the frequent cases of criminal prosecution of economic agents in the context of disputes under civil law, about the necessity of a further decriminalization of some economic crimes and the widening of the sphere of application of the civil and administrative law in business. 
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