DOI: 10.25136/2409-7802.2023.2.43657

Abstract: The subject of this article is the issue of using additive regression models to predict financial indicators at the macro level. At the same time, special attention is paid to the impact of the economy monetization on the possibility of attracting funding for global development projects (megaprojects). It is shown that the main drawback of the most common forecasting models today is their situation-dependent nature. This, in turn, creates difficulties with the initial setup of the models and the subsequent interpretation of the results obtained, limiting the scope of the models, making the use of this toolkit difficult for financial professionals who do not have special mathematical training. With the help of modeling, forecast values of the gross domestic product (GDP) and money supply (M2) for the short-term time obtained, on the basis of which the expected value of the level of the economy monetization was calculated. Based on a predictive assessment of the level of monetization, it is shown that at the moment the country has a limited potential for increasing domestic debt, which, in the conditions of closing access to international capital markets and partial blocking of state reserves, can become a factor in disrupting the financing of megaprojects for the economy structural modernization. Directions for improving the monetary policy aimed at correcting this situation and increasing domestic investment activity are proposed.

DOI: 10.7256/2454-0765.2017.4.24454

Abstract: The article is devoted to the experience of the implementation of the provisions of the Federal Law no, 476 of December 29, 2014 that defines the rules and procedure of individual (physical entities') bankruptcy. In his research Kuznetsov examines the historical grounds for that law and succeeding transformations. He also analyzes the algorithm for individual bankruptcy procedure, describes conditions and order for concluding an amicable settelment, principles of debt restructuring, and rules for selling debtor's assets. The researcher demonstrates the role of an independent financial manager in a case of individual bankruptcy. The research methodology is based on the systems approach and involves a detailed analysis of the algorithms at each stage of the individual bankruptcy procedure: initiating a bankruptcy procedure, preparing a debt settlement plan, and implementing a debt settlement plan. In his research Kuznetsov describes the main points of confusion in applicable laws that create problems for implementing the provisions of the Federal Law No. 476. The author also focuses on how the value of individual bankruptcy procedure is formed. The author demonstrates that current financial conditions, in fact, makes this procedure unavailable for those who actually need it. The author also makes the main suggestions on how to improve the procedure of individual bankruptcy. These suggestions may be used to change and improve the current legislation.