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Publications of Neimatov Azad Yagutovich
Politics and Society, 2016-9
Neimatov A.Y. - Risks and threats of the color revolution in Kyrgyzstan


Abstract: The object of this research is the political situation and political process in the Kyrgyz Republic. The subject of this research is the risks and treats of the color revolution on Kyrgyzstan at the present stage. The author thoroughly examines the current political situation in Kyrgyzstan in the context of regional processes that destabilize the situation in Central Asia., as well as draws peculiar attention to the color revolutions, which are used by the West as the main instruments of political destabilization and dismantlement of the political regimes. It is noted that the modern color revolutions consists in the techniques of the government overthrows, in which the main mechanism is the youth protest movements that often on the collision courses with the authorities under nationalistic slogans. From the perspective of implementation of the color revolution scenarios, Kyrgyzstan remains in the high-risk zone for almost a decade. It is namely associated with its geostrategic location in Central Asia, as well as participation in the Eurasian integration projects. The risks of the color revolution just prior to the 2015 Parliamentary elections in Kyrgyzstan are justified by the presence of the constantly existing source of political instability in the Osh Region (the unofficial capital of the southern part of Kyrgyzstan); as well as by the unsolved problems pertaining to the distribution of power among the northern and southern elites, which bring a schism into the society, and also by the fact that the Kyrgyz Republic among all countries of Central Asia is the “weakest link” that is the easiest to break. In addition to these factors, the majority of the residents are villagers, usually with a poor level or lack of education, who could be easily affected by the pro-American or Islamist campaign or propaganda.
National Security, 2016-2
Neimatov A.Y. - Risks and threats of the color revolution in Tajikistan


Abstract: This article is dedicated to the analysis of possible prerequisites of realization of the scenario of color revolutions in Tajikistan. It is a known fact that today Tajikistan is in the “group of risk” with regards to color revolutions; among the countries of higher priority for the organizers of color revolutions are Kazakhstan, Armenia, Uzbekistan, and Kyrgyzstan is in the second echelon. The results of the analysis of the network activity of the opposition groups in Tajikistan allow concluding that currently the country is in the phase of preparation of the “color” government overthrow, in other words, in the phase of realization of the scenario of color revolution, which includes the entire preliminary preparation and is being conducted under conditions of secrecy. There are currently at least two political powers in Tajikistan which can be used as political technologists: the Islamists, whose activity is coordinated by the representatives of the “Islamic State”; and the pro-American oriented “supporters of the European values”, who is against of Tajikistan’s participation in the European integrational projects, the leading role in which is played by Russia. The preventive factor for the color revolution in Tajikistan is the military presence of Russia (the 201st military base) and the membership of Tajikistan in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the Collective Security Treaty Organization – the organizations that secure the regional security.  
International relations, 2016-1
Neimatov A.Y. - Modern color revolutions in the context of the scientific-technological approach


Abstract: The subject of this research is the modern knowledge and understanding of the nature of color revolutions, as well as the discussions over this phenomenon in the Russian and foreign science. The author draws attention to the fact that in the late XXth - the early XXIst century the new forms and methods of organizing take-overs, based on the use of methods of "soft power" - the so-called color revolutions, emerge. The author examines in detail a color revolution from the positions of the two alternative approaches - as a phenomenon and as a technology, agreeing with the opinion of the Russian experts, who believe that a modern color revolution is a technology of a take-over and main tool of political regimes dismantle which is based on the youth protest movement clashing with the authority under nationalist slogans. The signal to launch the technologies of color revolutions is the elections - the most convenient and the classic pretext involving the initiation of mass protests on the wave of allegations put forward by the opposition about the massive electoral fraud. This is the most classic pretext that had been used in color revolutions in Serbia, in the Orange Revolution in Ukraine, the Revolution of Roses in Georgia and in many other countries - the habitual and well-tested method, a cliché, a "democratic pattern." The methodological basis of the research is a system, structural and functional, comparative political approaches, the methods of analysis, synthesis, induction, deduction, observation.The Russian expert community today maintains two opposite points of view about the nature of color revolutions, which are expressed in the existence of the two hypotheses: phenomenological (which considers a color revolution as a phenomenon) and technological (which considers a color revolution as an instrument of political influence and as a political technology). The aim of this study is to identify the forms and methods of organizing and conducting color revolutions in the world.
Trends and management, 2016-1
Neimatov A.Y. - Color Revolutions as an instrument of democratic transformation of traditional societies and dismantling of the political regimes


Abstract:   The object of this work is the pseudo-revolutionary events, collectively referred to as the "color revolutions," which the author attributes to the results of the techniques of government overthrow using the resources and tools of the "soft power." The subject of this research is the technologies of color revolutions. The goal of this work is to determine the role of modern technologies of color revolutions in the transformation of traditional societies and dismantling of the political regimes. Analyzes and comparison is conducted on the views of various authors (political scholars, philosophers, international experts) on the nature of color revolutions, as well as the possible scenarios and schemes for their implementation.   The methodological basis of the research consists of the systemic, structural and functional, comparative political approaches; methods of analysis, synthesis, induction, deduction, and observation.   The author focuses attention on the fact that the so-called color revolutions are in fact special political technologies, containing all the features of this class of technology: these are the technologies of organizing a coup in the conditions of political instability, in which the pressure on the government is realized in the form of popular uprisings and revolts, with only surface signs of disaster. At the same time, despite its pronounced technological nature, it is impossible to ignore the phenomenological nature of these events, associated with the crisis and the collapse of the unipolar world and the formation of a new world order that is based on multipolarity.  
Trends and management, 2015-4
Neimatov A.Y. - The theoretical aspects of studying color revolutions


Abstract: This article presents a study of the mechanisms and technologies of color revolutions and attempts to identify their role in the destabilization system for contemporary governments. Despite the fact that almost all the conflicts of recent decades did not proceed by the familiar and classic textbook schemes of the art of war, today many, seemingly prosperous countries can, in a flash, descend into a state of chaos and destruction through the intervention of another State. The methodological basis of this research is a systemic, structural and functional, comparative political approaches, methods of analysis, synthesis, induction, deduction, observation.In the current context of growing political instability, Russia has to closely monitor all the changes political and military situation in the various regions of the world and find appropriate ways and means to respond to them. That is why today you need to carefully study the special, new type factor that impacts the international security system, which is called "color revolutions." To generate a solid foreign policy and to make the right political decisions if is necessary to understand the characteristics and the nature of the technologies of color revolutions, to learn how to counteract them and control them.
International relations, 2015-4
Neimatov A.Y. - Color revolutions and political crisis in Ukraine


Abstract: This article is devoted to the study of modern forms, methods and technologies of color revolutions as the instruments of democratic transformation of traditional societies and the dismantling of political regimes. The author emphasizes that in the present conditions, unfortunately, we can not exclude the possibility of transfer of the experience of Ukrainian revolution organization to Russia. We could observe this situation during the events of the Arab Spring, when the scheme of color revolutions had been given "trial runs" in one country, and then, improved and modified, was transferred to another country.The methodological basis of the research contains the systems approach, the structural and functional and comparative-political approaches, the methods of analysis, synthesis, induction, deduction, observation. Color revolutions as efficient political technologies are very effective. At the same time, the stereotyped character of color revolutions technologies can lead to a significant decrease of their effectiveness. However, the widespread communication and information technologies create favorable conditions for the emergence of new and the improvement of old methods of political processes management in different countries.
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